Do projected cost reductions for battery storage vary over time?

The suite of publications demonstrates wide variation in projected cost reductions for battery storage over time. Figure ES-1 shows the suite of projected cost reductions (on a normalized basis) collected from the literature (shown in gray) as well as the low, mid, and high cost projections developed in this work (shown in black).

How much does a 4 hour battery system cost?

Figure ES-2 shows the overall capital cost for a 4-hour battery system based on those projections, with storage costs of $147/kWh, $243/kWh, and $339/kWh in 2035 and $108/kWh, $178/kWh, and $307/kWh in 2050 (values in 2024$).

What is a liquid cooled battery energy storage system?

The system consists of: Ready to install liquid-cooled battery energy storage system with one (2-hour version) or two (4-hour version) battery cabinets, and a PCS cabinet. Liquid cooling provides two years longer battery service life and 15% higher discharge capacity, while maintaining less than 2.5 degree C delta between cells.

Why should you choose a battery based energy storage system?

By sourcing batteries separately, users can expand their energy storage capacity as needed without overhauling the entire system. This scalability makes it an ideal solution for both residential and light commercial applications, future-proofing investment and enabling smart energy management.

What are battery cost projections for 4-hour lithium-ion systems?

Battery cost projections for 4-hour lithium-ion systems, with values relative to 2024. The high, mid, and low cost projections developed in this work are shown as bold lines. Published projections are shown as gray lines. Figure values are included in the Appendix.

What are NREL battery cost projections?

NREL utilizes the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) (Ho et al. 2021) for capacity expansion modeling, and the battery cost projections developed here are designed to be used in those models. Additionally, the projections are intended to inform the cost projections published in the Annual Technology Baseline (NREL 2024).